0x412d586279057b7e4980de3ca7cc2b0598e3ccb2
0x412d586279057b7e4980de3ca7cc2b0598e3ccb2
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$32.53
Total PnL
$-24.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$5.00
$0.01
- NO
Will NSC be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
5 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$4.98
$0.03
- NO
Will Emilio Gonzalez win the 2025 Miami mayoral election?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$4.94
$0.00
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win 0 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$4.84
$0.00
- NO
Will a dozen eggs cost <$2.75 in October?
4 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$4.26
$0.02
- NO
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in October?
4 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$4.25
$0.01
- NO
Will a dozen eggs cost between $4.00–4.25 in October?
4 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$4.24
$0.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8PM ET
10 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-4.93
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3AM ET
8 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-5.20
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 65°F or higher on October 30?
5 shares @ 98.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Feyisola Akintoye win Big Brother UK Series 22?$4.23Nov 15, 04:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jenny Baird win Big Brother UK Series 22?$4.23Nov 15, 04:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sam Ashby win Big Brother UK Series 22?$4.23Nov 15, 04:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Caroline Monk win Big Brother UK Series 22?$4.23Nov 15, 04:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nancy Nocerino win Big Brother UK Series 22?$4.23Nov 15, 04:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill George Gilbert win Big Brother UK Series 22?$4.23Nov 15, 04:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gani Khan win Big Brother UK Series 22?$4.23Nov 15, 04:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Marcus John win Big Brother UK Series 22?$4.23Nov 15, 04:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elsa Rae win Big Brother UK Series 22?$4.24Nov 15, 04:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tate Reynolds win Big Brother UK Series 22?$4.24Nov 15, 04:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) finish week of November 10 above $260?$4.26Nov 15, 01:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) finish week of November 10 above $250?$4.26Nov 15, 01:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) finish week of November 10 above $255?$4.26Nov 15, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) finish week of November 10 above $260?$4.26Nov 14, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) finish week of November 10 above $255?$4.26Nov 14, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) finish week of November 10 above $250?$4.26Nov 14, 20:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill October 2025 be the 2nd hottest on record?$4.22Nov 14, 19:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill October 2025 be the 1st hottest on record?$4.24Nov 14, 19:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill October 2025 be the 3rd hottest on record?$4.25Nov 14, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tate Reynolds win Big Brother UK Series 22?$4.23Nov 13, 23:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $4.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 11, 23:55 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 15, 04:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".