Smug-Reef
0x412d8703b9fb9293c39a949be1ce833e1d2dbe8b
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$8.00
Total PnL
$-15.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump say "fake news" at debate?
8 shares @ 35.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$8.00
$5.20
- NO
Will Trump say "China" 3 or more times at debate?
100 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$0.00
$-12.00
- NO
Will Kamala say "democracy" at debate?
30 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$0.00
$-4.50
- NO
Will Kamala say "Project 2025" at debate?
25 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$0.00
$-4.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala say "Project 2025" at debate?$4.25Sep 9, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala say "democracy" at debate?$4.50Sep 9, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "China" 3 or more times at debate?$12.00Sep 9, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "fake news" at debate?$2.80Sep 9, 19:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $5.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 9, 19:19 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 9, 19:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".