Vacant-Fishery
0x4131bd4f0dc4f4e8d065ccb09a1f875072f9d591
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$575.88
Total PnL
$-362.46
Realised
$-163.38
Win rate
63%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by June 30?
720 shares @ 34.2¢·now 15.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$107.96
$-137.87
- YES
Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?
163 shares @ 27.5¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$44.90
$-0.07
- YES
Will Paraguay finish last in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
77 shares @ 41.2¢·now 55.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$42.49
$10.68
- YES
Will USA be the highest-scoring team in Group D during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50 shares @ 62.8¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$40.25
$8.85
- YES
Will voter turnout be between 60% and 70% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?
141 shares @ 22.8¢·now 25.5¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$35.84
$3.77
- YES
Will Morocco be the highest-scoring team in Group C during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
120 shares @ 25.7¢·now 26.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$31.20
$0.33
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
322 shares @ 9.3¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$24.95
$-5.05
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
191 shares @ 10.8¢·now 12.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$24.52
$3.92
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?
56 shares @ 25.7¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$24.47
$10.03
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
521 shares @ 4.8¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$20.58
$-4.66
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill João Félix be in Portugal's Starting 11?$20.50Jun 17, 19:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?$0.49Jun 17, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? AND Exact Score: England 0 - 2 Croatia?$1.03Jun 17, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? AND Exact Score: England 0 - 1 Croatia?$0.82Jun 17, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 0 - 1 Croatia? AND Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 DR Congo?$1.21Jun 17, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 0 - 0 Croatia? AND Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 DR Congo?$1.03Jun 17, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 1 - 1 Croatia? AND Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 DR Congo?$1.34Jun 17, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 0 - 0 Croatia? AND Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 DR Congo?$1.34Jun 17, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 1 - 0 Croatia? AND Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 DR Congo?$1.75Jun 17, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 1 - 1 Croatia? AND Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 DR Congo?$1.75Jun 17, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 0 - 0 Croatia? AND Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 DR Congo?$1.75Jun 17, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 1 - 0 Croatia? AND Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 DR Congo?$2.26Jun 17, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 1 - 1 Croatia? AND Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 DR Congo?$2.26Jun 17, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 1 - 0 Croatia? AND Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 DR Congo?$2.88Jun 17, 13:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?$5.60Jun 17, 13:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jakeya Johnson be the Democratic nominee for MD-04?$2.15Jun 17, 12:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Glenn Ivey be the Democratic nominee for MD-04?$1.82Jun 17, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Celeste Maloy be the Republican nominee for UT-03?$6.10Jun 17, 10:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Glenn Ivey be the Democratic nominee for MD-04?$1.20Jun 17, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?$1.35Jun 17, 09:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $5.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 03:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 19:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.