Stiff-Stencil
0x413db6243c3e5c79827d8d8e5a2205e6c65b5031
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
38
Open notional
$7.06
Total PnL
$-64.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- NO
Bill Clinton in jail by January 31?
5 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$5.01
$0.01
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 9, 2026?
1 shares @ 96.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
1 shares @ 97.1¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118K and $120K on August 18?
15 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $120K and $122K on August 18?
15 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?
13 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $122K and $124K on August 18?
13 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
11 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
11 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $111K on August 8?
8 shares @ 26.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill ANO form a government after Czech election ?$1.05Jan 9, 01:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$1.16Jan 9, 01:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$1.52Jan 9, 01:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Vít Rakušan be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$2.03Jan 9, 01:54 UTC
- REDEEMIs Earth flat?$2.05Jan 9, 01:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Petr Fiala be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$2.06Jan 9, 01:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$2.20Jan 9, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 9, 2026?$1.00Jan 9, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBill Clinton in jail by January 31?$5.00Jan 9, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$1.00Jan 9, 01:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "President Xi" during Hungary PM events on November 7?$2.04Nov 8, 20:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "NATO" during Hungary PM events on November 7?$1.18Nov 8, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "President Xi" during Hungary PM events on November 7?$1.00Nov 7, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "NATO" during Hungary PM events on November 7?$1.00Nov 7, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$1.00Nov 7, 13:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?$1.04Nov 3, 11:40 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$1.08Nov 3, 11:40 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.10Nov 3, 11:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $126,000 on October 11?$0.00Oct 13, 10:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $126,000 on October 11?$2.04Oct 13, 10:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $1.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 25, 18:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 9, 01:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".