Excellent-Cotton
0x413ed4665dced378201a638b9f126f4670c5beff
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
53
Open notional
$9.53
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$-9.63
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?
10 shares @ 97.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$9.53
$0.28
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
626 shares @ 45.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-285.47
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
449 shares @ 93.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-420.99
- NUGGETS
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves
437 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-240.41
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
328 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-324.70
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
167 shares @ 59.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-98.54
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
164 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-98.56
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
118 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-109.87
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
100 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.07May 22, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$10.57May 21, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?$9.27May 19, 11:27 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.88May 19, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$4.66May 17, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.80May 11, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 6?$425.28May 8, 12:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on May 6?$559.87May 8, 12:13 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$11.73May 7, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 6?$4.95May 6, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 6?$93.55May 6, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 6?$24.75May 6, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 6?$54.45May 6, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 6?$69.30May 6, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 6?$54.03May 6, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 6?$120.06May 6, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 6?$502.16May 6, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 6?$26.13May 6, 11:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?$200.00May 5, 23:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on May 5?$507.19May 5, 23:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $236.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 06:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 00:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.