Parched-Dynamics
0x414187017620c725ac4be914652b07d8fcd3f890
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
111
Open notional
$10.00
Total PnL
$-719.29
Realised
$-21.40
Win rate
75%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 111- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
10 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.00
$2.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 8PM ET
1374 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-8.82
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7PM ET
1140 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 7AM ET
1115 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-18.65
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 7PM ET
1066 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.54
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 7AM ET
997 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.60
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
577 shares @ 16.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-96.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
400 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.60
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 8, 7AM ET
335 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-24.96
- UP
XRP Up or Down - February 17, 4AM ET
245 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.32
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?$4.20Mar 19, 01:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Qatar strike Iran by March 31?$3.20Mar 9, 12:27 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 8, 9AM ET$4.40Mar 8, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 8, 9AM ET$0.50Mar 8, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 8, 9AM ET$1.75Mar 8, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 8, 9AM ET$4.10Mar 8, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 8, 9AM ET$2.25Mar 8, 13:04 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - March 8, 6AM ET$10.00Mar 8, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 8, 8AM ET$0.12Mar 8, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 8, 8AM ET$0.48Mar 8, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 8, 8AM ET$1.00Mar 8, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 8, 8AM ET$1.00Mar 8, 12:00 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - March 8, 7AM ET$0.54Mar 8, 11:58 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 8, 7AM ET$0.50Mar 8, 11:56 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - March 8, 7AM ET$0.60Mar 8, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 8, 7AM ET$0.00Mar 8, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 8, 7AM ET$0.07Mar 8, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 8, 7AM ET$0.03Mar 8, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 8, 7AM ET$0.01Mar 8, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 8, 7AM ET$0.07Mar 8, 11:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 10:45 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 19, 01:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".