Shocking-Head
0x4142910a0eb92737e8484632e89d081984e757f3
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$106.00
Total PnL
$0.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $94,000 May 11-17?$105.79May 14, 14:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$106.51Apr 4, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$3.8KApr 1, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$83.41Mar 30, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$3.04Mar 30, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$7.33Mar 30, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$2.2KMar 30, 18:59 UTC
- REWARD$3.30Mar 21, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$105.13Mar 15, 19:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of February?$105.12Mar 8, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of February?$104.70Feb 10, 20:31 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?$104.70Feb 10, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?$104.18Jan 18, 05:27 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President in 2025?$101.11Jan 18, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President in 2025?$100.00Dec 7, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $6000 in October?$1.94Dec 7, 10:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$5.01Dec 7, 10:36 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by October 31?$5.15Dec 7, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$5.00Oct 21, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by October 31?$5.00Oct 20, 15:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $494.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 20, 04:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 14:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.