Clueless-Machine
0x414af40477432077ab50d04800fa2e2c4710e49b
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$118.65
Total PnL
$-141.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
AI bubble burst in 2026?
150 shares @ 79.9¢·now 79.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$118.65
$-1.20
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?
36680 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-73.36
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
5418 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-16.25
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
1298 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-7.09
- YES
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31?
986 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-43.33
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on April 13?$19.09Apr 26, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI bubble burst in 2026?$119.85Apr 15, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on April 13?$399.58Apr 13, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on April 13?$399.60Apr 13, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on April 13?$19.07Apr 13, 14:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026?$19.10Apr 13, 13:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on March 18?$5.00Mar 20, 14:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 13?$58.69Mar 20, 14:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on March 18?$82.00Mar 20, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on March 18?$81.67Mar 18, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on March 18?$5.00Mar 18, 13:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 13?$235.26Mar 11, 19:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 13?$662.04Mar 11, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 13?$954.86Mar 11, 14:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 8?$500.00Mar 11, 14:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 10?$11.1KMar 11, 14:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 11?$39.66Mar 9, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 10?$370.49Mar 8, 12:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 10?$218.75Mar 8, 09:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$98.12Mar 8, 09:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $401.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 14, 07:03 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 26, 15:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.