Warmhearted-Fishery
0x414ee129aad9f50df3452d2fd93653f08e9a6518
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-180.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Trump get over 50% of the Popular Vote?
1303 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2024$0.00
$-23.00
- YES
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?
714 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-53.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk buy MSNBC?
118 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
South Korean People’s Power leader arrested by Friday?
110 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
NATO article 5 before March?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump say "doge" or "Dogecoin" during his inauguration speech?
71 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Tucker say "WW3" during Lavrov interview?
63 shares @ 63.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?
54 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Biden finish his term?
52 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Google forced to sell Chrome?
38 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December?$25.25Dec 11, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?$5.00Dec 10, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump get over 50% of the Popular Vote?$10.00Dec 10, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December?$40.00Dec 6, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump replace Hegseth with DeSantis by Friday?$5.00Dec 5, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tucker say "WW3" during Lavrov interview?$40.00Dec 5, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO article 5 before March?$5.00Dec 5, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2024?$0.00Dec 5, 02:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Billie Eilish be the top Spotify artist for 2024?$0.00Dec 5, 02:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Weeknd be the top Spotify artist for 2024?$0.00Dec 4, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Billie Eilish be the top Spotify artist for 2024?$2.00Dec 4, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2024?$2.00Dec 4, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?$3.00Dec 4, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden finish his term?$3.00Dec 4, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump get over 50% of the Popular Vote?$4.00Dec 4, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2024?$2.00Dec 4, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSouth Korean People’s Power leader arrested by Friday?$2.00Dec 4, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?$10.00Dec 3, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in November?$0.00Dec 2, 03:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast x Ronaldo video get between 75m-100m views on day 1?$0.00Dec 2, 03:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $10.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 23, 18:19 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 11, 10:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".