Doting-Parsnip
0x415174fef182f574def79063e84634ed8d0466c7
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
76
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-173.06
Realised
$8.48
Win rate
68%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 76- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
126 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-34.02
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
38 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
35 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.85
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
34 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
34 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
34 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$0.57Jun 18, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.01Jun 18, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$0.75Jun 18, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$1.92Jun 18, 18:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$0.48Jun 18, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$1.25Jun 18, 18:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$1.23Jun 18, 18:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$0.61Jun 18, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$1.49Jun 18, 18:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$1.21Jun 18, 18:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$0.54Jun 18, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$1.64Jun 18, 18:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$0.76Jun 18, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$1.61Jun 18, 17:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$0.84Jun 18, 17:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$1.24Jun 18, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$1.65Jun 18, 17:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$1.21Jun 18, 17:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$0.67Jun 18, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$1.64Jun 18, 17:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
44/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
68% win rate over 19 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
19 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 15:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 20:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.