Thorny-Pension
0x4152071505c5ee521875227e7ec4a422135203d9
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$7.00
Total PnL
$0.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
[Single Market] Will Donald Trump Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$1.00
$0.03
- NO
[Single Market] Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$1.00
$0.06
- NO
[Single Market] Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$1.00
$0.15
- NO
[Single Market] Will Chris Christie win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$1.00
$0.05
- NO
[Single Market] Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$1.00
$0.05
- NO
[Single Market] Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$1.00
$0.11
- NO
[Single Market] Will Tim Scott win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$1.00
$0.05
- NO
[Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$0.00
$-0.30
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Barbenheimer overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens?$0.00Sep 19, 23:05 UTC
- REDEEMETH above $1,700 on Aug 25?$0.01Aug 26, 17:09 UTC
- REDEEMTrump mugshot by Sep 1?$0.00Aug 25, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMGuatemala Presidential Election: Will Sandra Torres win?$0.00Aug 25, 09:18 UTC
- REDEEMGuatemala Presidential Election: Will Bernardo Arévalo win?$0.00Aug 25, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYGuatemala Presidential Election: Will Sandra Torres win?$0.53Aug 24, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYGuatemala Presidential Election: Will Bernardo Arévalo win?$10.00Aug 24, 22:47 UTC
- TRADESELLETH above $1,700 on Aug 25?$10.46Aug 24, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUY[Single Market] Will Donald Trump Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?$0.97Aug 24, 11:37 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump heavier than 260 lbs?$1.04Aug 24, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYETH above $1,700 on Aug 25?$10.00Aug 23, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUY[Single Market] Will Tim Scott win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?$0.95Aug 23, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUY[Single Market] Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?$0.94Aug 23, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUY[Single Market] Will Chris Christie win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?$0.95Aug 23, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUY[Single Market] Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?$0.95Aug 23, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUY[Single Market] Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?$0.89Aug 23, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUY[Single Market] Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?$0.85Aug 23, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUY[Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?$0.30Aug 23, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump mugshot by Sep 1?$5.00Aug 21, 09:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBTC above $28,000 at end of August?$0.77Aug 18, 09:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $2.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 17, 23:54 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 19, 23:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".