Half-Spill
0x4153dd7a322bf7a85b722765a19dc64c4b44b4d1
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$55.59
Total PnL
$0.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will another player be the top goalscorer in the EPL?
34 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$34.00
$0.24
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2400 in April?
7 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$7.39
$0.09
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $100k in April?
7 shares @ 96.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$7.23
$0.24
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $110k in April?
7 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$6.97
$0.07
- YES
Will Bukayo Saka be the top goalscorer in the EPL?
5 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100k in April?$6.99Apr 19, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110k in April?$6.90Apr 19, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2400 in April?$7.30Apr 19, 13:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?$0.00Mar 11, 13:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Diogo Jota be the top goalscorer in the EPL?$19.96Mar 11, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bukayo Saka be the top goalscorer in the EPL?$0.02Feb 6, 07:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alexander Lukashenko win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election? $51.00Jan 31, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another player be the top goalscorer in the EPL?$33.76Jan 24, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Diogo Jota be the top goalscorer in the EPL?$19.94Jan 24, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexander Lukashenko win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election? $50.90Jan 24, 12:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill someone else be inaugurated?$0.00Jan 24, 12:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$105.33Jan 24, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill someone else be inaugurated?$0.01Jan 20, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill someone else be inaugurated?$0.01Jan 20, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill someone else be inaugurated?$0.02Jan 20, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill someone else be inaugurated?$0.02Jan 16, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Steelers win Super Bowl 2025?$0.00Jan 16, 11:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Dolphins win Super Bowl 2025?$0.00Jan 16, 11:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Cardinals win Super Bowl 2025?$0.00Jan 16, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Steelers win Super Bowl 2025?$0.16Nov 14, 09:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $13.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 14, 09:30 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 19, 13:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".