Well-Groomed-Economy
0x4157a7d9e4906c78ea61cff30c998e4d1f1f28e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$3.55
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$12.0K
Win rate
67%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Ukraine formally cede Crimea, Luhansk, or Donetsk by May 31, 2022?
4 shares @ 74.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2022$3.55
$0.92
- NO
Will Marine Le Pen win 2nd place in the first round of the 2022 French presidential election?
36204 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2022$0.00
$-5.6K
- NO
Will J. D. Vance win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio?
13148 shares @ 25.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2022$0.00
$-3.4K
- NO
Will Mehmet Oz win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania?
10266 shares @ 49.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2022$0.00
$-5.1K
- NO
Will Emmanuel Macron win the 2022 French presidential election?
2107 shares @ 19.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2022$0.00
$-410.71
- YES
Will Rodolfo Hernández win the 2022 Colombian presidential election?
417 shares @ 71.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2022$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will Matt Dolan win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio?
176 shares @ 21.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2022$0.00
$-38.53
- YES
Will Charles Herbster win the Republican gubernatorial nomination in the 2022 Nebraska election on May 10?
37 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2022$0.00
$-25.00
- NO
Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Ketanji Brown Jackson to SCOTUS by December 31, 2022?
14 shares @ 42.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2022$0.00
$-5.93
- YES
[From Nate Silver] Will there be a federal mask requirement on US domestic flights on November 8, 2022?
5 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2022$0.00
$-0.95
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Conor Lamb win the Democratic nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania?$7.41Aug 8, 02:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kari Lake win the 2022 Arizona Republican Gubernatorial nomination?$56.36Aug 6, 01:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Kansas "Value Them Both" anti-abortion amendment pass?$321.98Aug 5, 23:12 UTC
- MERGEWill Boris Johnson remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through August?$970.00Jul 21, 04:11 UTC
- MERGEWill Boris Johnson remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through August?$871.66Jul 21, 04:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill John Fetterman win the Democratic nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania?$362.58Jul 21, 04:04 UTC
- REDEEMWho will win the Democratic Nomination in the TX-28 House election: Jessica Cisneros or Henry Cuellar?$745.94Jul 21, 04:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Katie Britt win the 2022 Alabama Republican Senate nomination?$979.50Jul 15, 17:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia expand its number of federal subjects by July 1, 2022?$2.5KJul 11, 01:37 UTC
- MERGEWill Russia expand its number of federal subjects by July 1, 2022?$1.3KMay 25, 19:59 UTC
- MERGEWho will win the Democratic Nomination in the TX-28 House election: Jessica Cisneros or Henry Cuellar?$461.33May 25, 03:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Madison Cawthorn win the Republican nomination for the NC-11 House election?$5.5KMay 20, 02:52 UTC
- MERGEWill Madison Cawthorn win the Republican nomination for the NC-11 House election?$1.6KMay 17, 14:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill US student loan payments resume by May 2, 2022?$664.33May 9, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Josh Mandel win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio?$975.89May 9, 17:55 UTC
- MERGEWill J. D. Vance win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio?$3.7KMay 3, 23:24 UTC
- MERGEWill J. D. Vance win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio?$1.4KMay 3, 19:50 UTC
- MERGEWill Josh Mandel win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio?$2.8KMay 3, 18:12 UTC
- MERGEWill J. D. Vance win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio?$2.6KMay 3, 18:00 UTC
- MERGEWill Matt Dolan win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio?$174.76May 2, 23:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 18:31 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 8, 02:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".