Reliable-Lap
0x4157f19818da67fdc9c031384ca0332a42265474
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$48.47
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$-8.81
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will "Canada" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
11 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 8, 2026$11.02
$0.17
- NO
Will "Hillary" or "Clinton" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
7 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 8, 2026$7.45
$0.11
- NO
Will "Macroeconomy" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
7 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 8, 2026$7.45
$0.11
- NO
Will "Mark Zuckerberg" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
7 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 8, 2026$7.45
$0.11
- NO
Will "Constitution" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
7 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 8, 2026$7.45
$0.10
- NO
Will "Miracle" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
7 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 8, 2026$7.44
$0.10
- NO
Will "King" or "Queen" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
419 shares @ 51.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.21
$-216.79
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.05
- NO
Will "Audit" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
270 shares @ 39.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-106.00
- NO
Will MrBeast say "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" 5+ times during his next video?
222 shares @ 87.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-193.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "King" or "Queen" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$7.172h ago
- TRADEBUYWill "King" or "Queen" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$10.362h ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Macroeconomy" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$7.352h ago
- TRADEBUYWill "King" or "Queen" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$202.462h ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Mark Zuckerberg" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$7.352h ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Canada" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$10.872h ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Constitution" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$7.352h ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Hillary" or "Clinton" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$7.352h ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Miracle" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$7.352h ago
- REDEEMWill "Epstein" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand podcast?$183.222d ago
- REDEEMWill "Amazon" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand podcast?$10.002d ago
- REDEEMWill "Federal Reserve" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand podcast?$189.112d ago
- REDEEMWill "Trump" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand podcast?$7.022d ago
- REDEEMWill "Scam" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand podcast?$33.232d ago
- REDEEMWill "Housing" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand podcast?$7.362d ago
- REDEEMWill "Crazy" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand podcast?$21.402d ago
- REDEEMWill "Korea" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand podcast?$33.232d ago
- REDEEMWill "Anthropic" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand podcast?$7.362d ago
- REDEEMWill "China" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand podcast?$6.712d ago
- REDEEMWill "Brain" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand podcast?$7.882d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $37.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 3d ago
- Last active
- 2h ago
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
