Noxious-Ephyra
0x4159a92422dfae42ca9318b4a0a3ad857d8d05c0
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
76
Open notional
$27.26
Total PnL
$-55.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 76- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
3 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?
2 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$2.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?
2 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$2.01
$0.01
- NO
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?
1 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
1 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 9?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Andoni Iraola be the next Chelsea manager?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will XRP reach $3.60 in January?
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$1.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 31?$1.00Jan 31, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $3.60 in January?$1.00Jan 15, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andoni Iraola be the next Chelsea manager?$1.00Jan 4, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on December 24?$1.00Dec 26, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on December 10?$1.00Dec 12, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on December 9?$1.00Dec 11, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$1.00Dec 10, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $170 and $180 on November 18?$1.00Dec 10, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bryan Johnson say "Goth Girl" while tripping balls?$1.00Dec 10, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Van Epps win TN-07 by 10–15%?$1.00Dec 10, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Wicked: For Good" score at least 86 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$1.00Dec 10, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Monad perform an airdrop by November 20? $1.00Dec 10, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by November 30?$1.01Dec 10, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill St. Louis record the first snowfall?$1.01Dec 10, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?$1.01Dec 10, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 14?$1.01Dec 10, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on December 7?$1.01Dec 10, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 6?$1.01Dec 10, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMGemini 3.0 Flash released by November 30?$1.01Dec 10, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$1.01Dec 10, 06:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 8, 06:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 31, 03:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".