Glistening-Concentration
0x415a9dd47590424b47924d9fb2bbaa47699cb81e
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$12.66
Total PnL
$-112.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?
13 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$12.66
$2.66
- YES
Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?
405 shares @ 25.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-101.53
- NO
Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?
40 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?
17 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $103K and $105K on July 9?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Bitcoin above $106,000 on July 9?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in July?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $105K and $107K on July 9?
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Diddy be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?$2.58Aug 26, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$5.94Aug 26, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product in 2025?$5.42Aug 26, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBayrou out as French PM in 2025?$7.33Aug 26, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on July 31?$47.53Jul 12, 00:28 UTC
- TRADESELLApple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic before September?$5.57Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?$5.00Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?$5.01Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon register the America Party in July?$7.86Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the top AI model on December 31?$12.40Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the top AI model on August 31?$10.85Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on July 31?$44.00Jul 7, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $106,000 on July 9?$1.00Jul 7, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $95K in July?$1.00Jul 7, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $105K and $107K on July 9?$1.00Jul 7, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $103K and $105K on July 9?$1.00Jul 7, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Diddy be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?$5.00Jul 7, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?$5.00Jul 7, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon register the America Party in July?$5.00Jul 7, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBayrou out as French PM in 2025?$5.00Jul 6, 11:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $8.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 11:11 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 26, 16:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.