0x4163ec303109190005cba8f94042b38f8ebd9130
0x4163ec303109190005cba8f94042b38f8ebd9130
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-59.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 9?
9600 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-9.60
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 15?
154 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 15?
127 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US forces enter Iran by January 31?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)?
105 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
42 shares @ 23.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?$16.66Feb 28, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by January 31?$10.00Jan 15, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?$10.00Jan 15, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 15?$10.00Jan 15, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 15?$10.00Jan 15, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$10.00Jan 15, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)?$10.00Jan 15, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 9?$9.60Jan 9, 17:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $10.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 9, 17:11 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 08:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".