Famous-Elephant
0x4167f9a9a1ce7e502933f6064dda890342ba0eb4
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$10.00
Total PnL
$-3.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?$8.84May 7, 20:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$9.39May 7, 20:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill João Cotrim de Figueiredo win more than 20% of votes in the first round?$0.00Apr 18, 19:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?$1.35Apr 18, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill João Cotrim de Figueiredo win more than 20% of votes in the first round?$2.75Jan 17, 21:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Machado not shake hands?$2.75Jan 17, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Machado not shake hands?$2.42Jan 15, 23:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Machado not shake hands?$2.41Jan 15, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Machado not shake hands?$5.36Jan 15, 23:32 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro mugshot released by January 9?$5.00Jan 15, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro mugshot released by January 9?$3.60Jan 5, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by April 30?$4.25Jan 1, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 1, 14:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?$9.21Jan 1, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?$8.78Dec 31, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$9.24Dec 30, 21:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $5.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 30, 21:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 7, 20:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.