Homely-Case
0x416ca0baface8e33729bfef5d7d02196cb6fc0e0
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-76.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
308 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
Will Trump say "UFC" or "Dana White" during Iowa speech?
142 shares @ 14.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
140 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?
64 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
50 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "UFC" or "Dana White" during Iowa speech?$10.00Jan 27, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "UFC" or "Dana White" during Iowa speech?$10.00Jan 27, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$10.00Jan 25, 20:46 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?$48.48Jan 23, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?$50.00Jan 21, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?$3.00Jan 16, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$3.00Jan 16, 15:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?$8.85Jan 15, 23:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$32.38Jan 15, 23:09 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?$21.43Jan 15, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?$40.00Jan 15, 19:14 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?$95.35Jan 14, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?$108.60Jan 14, 21:59 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$108.60Jan 14, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$101.52Jan 14, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?$22.00Jan 12, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?$40.00Jan 12, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$40.00Jan 12, 18:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Cuba by January 31?$75.74Jan 11, 18:24 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Cuba by January 31?$5.00Jan 11, 17:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $37.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 8, 22:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 27, 23:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".