Icky-Republican
0x416f634a3cd82fdad0194ed55a5f9eb3a86ea9e4
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$5.00
Total PnL
$-13.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the US strike Somalia next?
5 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.00
$0.05
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
66 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.12
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?
36 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
30 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.90
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?
15 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.35
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Somalia next?$4.95Jan 23, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?$6.90Dec 14, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.35Dec 12, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$0.44Dec 12, 02:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$0.01Dec 12, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$0.02Dec 12, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$1.00Dec 12, 00:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$1.74Dec 12, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$0.68Dec 12, 00:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$4.45Dec 12, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$1.00Dec 11, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$1.00Dec 11, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?$2.00Dec 11, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?$1.00Dec 11, 22:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $1.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 11, 22:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 23, 20:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.