Jovial-Nurse
0x41724795aeb481e54791a582d3fa9c59532f7ea0
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$63.17
Total PnL
$0.21
Realised
$0.18
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
37 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$36.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will "AFI Life Achievement Award: A Tribute to Eddie Murphy" be the top US Netflix show this week?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$4.94
$0.00
- NO
Will Meta have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
4 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.79
$0.01
- NO
Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?
3 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$3.28
$0.01
- NO
Will "Lawmen: Bass Reeves" be the top US Netflix show this week?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$3.27
$0.00
- NO
Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
3 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.99
$0.00
- NO
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.07
$-0.00
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
2 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.03
$0.00
- NO
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.99
$0.00
- NO
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?
2 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$1.83
$0.02
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$2.03Jun 8, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$2.07Jun 8, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$37.00Jun 8, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.99Jun 8, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$2.99Jun 8, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$3.78Jun 8, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?$1.81Jun 8, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Lawmen: Bass Reeves" be the top US Netflix show this week?$3.27Jun 8, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?$3.27Jun 8, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "AFI Life Achievement Award: A Tribute to Eddie Murphy" be the top US Netflix show this week?$4.94Jun 8, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Faustin-Archange Touadéra win the 2025 Central African Republic presidential election?$1.18Jun 8, 19:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 15?$1.28Jun 8, 19:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.44Jun 8, 19:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 15?$1.48Jun 8, 19:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 16, 00:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $15.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 4, 00:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.