0x41730f151f7a7fe096faa404cb5b4cc99d1b9f32
0x41730f151f7a7fe096faa404cb5b4cc99d1b9f32
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$17.99
Total PnL
$-9.49
Realised
$-1.55
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 14?
1001 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$5.51
$4.50
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 14?
1040 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$1.56
$0.52
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 Week of July 13 2026?
1050 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.53
$-0.53
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on July 13?
1040 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.52
$-0.52
- YES
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
1040 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.52
$-0.52
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on July 13?
1040 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.52
$-0.52
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on July 13?
1040 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.52
$-0.52
- YES
Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
1040 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.52
$-0.52
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 14?
1040 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.52
$-0.52
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 13?
1040 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.52
$-0.52
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 14?$1.10Jul 14, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 14?$1.06Jul 14, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on July 13?$0.23Jul 14, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 14?$1.10Jul 14, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 180-199 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$1.10Jul 14, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on July 14?$0.01Jul 14, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on July 16?$1.10Jul 14, 00:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 13?$0.00Jul 14, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tayte Willows win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?$0.01Jul 14, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 Week of July 13 2026?$1.10Jul 14, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$1.10Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on July 13?$1.10Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on July 13?$0.00Jul 13, 23:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 13?$0.25Jul 13, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 34°C on July 13?$0.76Jul 13, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 13?$0.80Jul 13, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 13?$1.10Jul 13, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on July 14?$1.10Jul 13, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on July 13?$1.10Jul 13, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on July 13?$1.10Jul 13, 23:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $0.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 18:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 01:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.