Realistic-Stuff
0x417316407e3fa9d336b87dfd2e7eae93326b524a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-46.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
3 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
3 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
3 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
3 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
3 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
3 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
3 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
3 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
3 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
3 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$1.55Jul 22, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$3.06Jul 19, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$3.00Jul 19, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$1.55Jul 19, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$1.55Jul 19, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$1.55Jul 19, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 19, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$1.55Jul 19, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$1.55Jul 16, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$1.55Jul 16, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$2.83Jul 16, 01:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$2.94Jul 16, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$1.55Jul 16, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$1.55Jul 16, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$1.55Jul 14, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$2.94Jul 14, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$2.94Jul 14, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$1.55Jul 14, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$1.55Jul 14, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$1.55Jul 14, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$1.55Jul 14, 04:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
4/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $1.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 02:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 06:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.