Early-Methane
0x4173ca022b5b3187ede81f0e0c46d515bde8bc51
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$33.22
Total PnL
$0.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% in 2025?
14 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$14.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?
9 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$9.07
$0.07
- NO
Will Kingdom Come: Deliverance II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$5.05
$0.05
- NO
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December meeting?
5 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$5.05
$0.05
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$4.00Dec 8, 13:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 137m?$4.20Dec 8, 13:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$5.00Dec 8, 13:18 UTC
- REDEEMOver $140M committed to the Solomon public sale?$5.02Dec 8, 13:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Airbnb (ABNB) close at <$100 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?$5.02Dec 8, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) close at <$245 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?$5.03Dec 8, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 115m?$5.03Dec 8, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Rental Family" score at least 87 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$5.10Dec 8, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Die With a Smile by Lady Gaga and Bruno Mars be the most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?$5.16Dec 8, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?$6.01Dec 8, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMMonad market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?$6.04Dec 8, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at <$460 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?$9.04Dec 8, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opendoor (OPEN) close at $4.00-$5.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?$9.05Dec 8, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?$9.18Dec 8, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $140M committed to the Solomon public sale?$5.00Nov 18, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 115m?$5.00Nov 18, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at <$460 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?$5.00Nov 18, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December meeting?$5.00Nov 18, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% in 2025?$4.00Nov 18, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Die With a Smile by Lady Gaga and Bruno Mars be the most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?$5.00Nov 18, 08:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $38.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 24, 13:29 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 8, 13:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.