0x417d3ab065a0b6fcf2c3b19b5f7fe6c611bfd177
0x417d3ab065a0b6fcf2c3b19b5f7fe6c611bfd177
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$20.69
Total PnL
$11.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on May 6?
8 shares @ 11.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 6, 2026$8.46
$7.46
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 61°F or below on May 6?
10 shares @ 20.4¢·now 54.4¢·exp May 6, 2026$5.33
$3.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on May 8?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp May 8, 2026$1.92
$0.92
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on May 6?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 6, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or below on May 7?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 98.8¢·exp May 7, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on May 8?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 96.3¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 8?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.86
$-0.14
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C or below on May 6?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.57
$-0.43
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on May 8?
15 shares @ 2.2¢·now 3.8¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.56
$0.24
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 6?$2.0215m ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C or higher on May 6?$0.0016m ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on May 6?$0.004h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on May 6?$1.047h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on May 8?$0.348h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on May 8?$1.008h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 8?$1.048h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C or higher on May 6?$1.058h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on May 6?$1.058h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 61°F or below on May 6?$1.0410h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 61°F or below on May 6?$1.0410h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on May 6?$1.0010h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 6?$1.0011h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 6?$1.0011h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on May 8?$1.0511h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or below on May 7?$1.0011h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on May 6?$1.0511h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C or below on May 6?$1.0511h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $0.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 11h ago
- Last active
- 15m ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
