Firm-Swordfight
0x4181a76f3a1bcafaa96b17124f8588dba3484d96
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$75.00
Total PnL
$-4.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
75 shares @ 16.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$75.00
$63.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?
2385 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-87.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?
1907 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- ROCKETS
Hornets vs. Rockets
1724 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
Will Jake Paul win by KO/TKO/DQ?
1704 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Will the fight be ruled a No Contest or end in any other result?
1631 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-23.00
- JAZZ
Jazz vs. Hawks
1534 shares @ 38.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-586.00
- YES
Will It Was Just An Accident win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
1398 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-145.00
- RAMS
Rams vs. Seahawks
1367 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-615.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.