Fitting-Pneumonia
0x4185792bc6eb6f59144ea7ee9dd94810e945b27c
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$18.89
Total PnL
$-111.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?
11 shares @ 78.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$10.94
$2.33
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
26 shares @ 77.5¢·now 28.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.21
$-12.79
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
48 shares @ 21.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.74
$-9.26
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
222 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will 'Deadpool 3' gross most in 2024?
100 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
Will Adam Neumann buy back WeWork in 2024?
83 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Vance" or "Rubio" during Address to the Nation?
25 shares @ 40.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during Address to the Nation?
22 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Fake News" during Address to the Nation?
20 shares @ 24.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
19 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?$8.61Apr 1, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation?$10.00Apr 1, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Vance" or "Rubio" during Address to the Nation?$10.00Apr 1, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Fake News" during Address to the Nation?$5.00Apr 1, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kharg" or "Island" during Address to the Nation?$5.00Apr 1, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during Address to the Nation?$5.00Apr 1, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?$2.00Mar 7, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$10.00Mar 7, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?$6.00Mar 7, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$20.00Mar 7, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$10.00Nov 12, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$51.61Nov 12, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMTrump in jail before election day?$0.00Nov 7, 22:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win New York Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 7, 22:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$0.00Nov 7, 22:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$0.00Nov 7, 22:23 UTC
- REDEEM[Single Market] Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.00Nov 7, 22:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$0.00Nov 7, 22:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill RFK Jr. debate Biden/Trump?$0.00Nov 7, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Deadpool 3' gross most in 2024?$19.00Jul 21, 22:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $14.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 15, 21:31 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 1, 18:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".