Excited-Swordfight
0x418637f68dd71ef25c3968279d1f33ff976335b8
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$6.00
Total PnL
$-991.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Fernando Olivera win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
Recent activity
- SPLITWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 24?$1.00May 24, 13:03 UTC
- SPLITWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?$1.00May 23, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 20?$1.00May 22, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?$1.00May 22, 12:55 UTC
- SPLITWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 22?$1.00May 22, 09:43 UTC
- SPLITWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?$1.00May 21, 10:30 UTC
- SPLITWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 20?$1.00May 20, 13:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?$1.00May 20, 13:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 18?$1.00May 20, 13:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 16?$1.00May 20, 13:22 UTC
- SPLITWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?$1.00May 19, 14:11 UTC
- SPLITWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 18?$1.00May 18, 13:10 UTC
- SPLITWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 16?$1.00May 16, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?$1.00May 16, 01:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.09May 16, 01:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on April 29?$1.00May 15, 09:49 UTC
- SPLITWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?$1.00May 15, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.00May 14, 13:56 UTC
- SPLITWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on April 29?$1.00Apr 29, 12:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 22?$1.00Apr 28, 13:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 13:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 13:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.