Nonstop-Race
0x418a729f10c6170a50e290354dbf6dd0eca364c0
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$18.09
Total PnL
$-631.66
Realised
$5.21
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will There be 10+ Knife Kills at Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2?
20 shares @ 99.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$18.09
$-1.71
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 39°C or higher on July 11?
103 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-9.36
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 38°C on July 11?
93 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-8.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 11?
74 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-6.73
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or below on July 11?
65 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.91
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 19?
65 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-23.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 11?
62 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.64
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C or below on July 12?
60 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C or higher on July 12?
60 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 12?
60 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 23?$7.60Jul 22, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 23?$7.52Jul 22, 02:29 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Los Angeles on July 23?$7.00Jul 22, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 23?$4.49Jul 22, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on July 23?$6.93Jul 22, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 23?$6.87Jul 22, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 23?$5.18Jul 22, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 23?$5.66Jul 22, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on July 23?$6.07Jul 22, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 23?$7.60Jul 22, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 23?$7.04Jul 22, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on July 23?$7.12Jul 22, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 23?$0.60Jul 22, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on July 23?$7.52Jul 22, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 23?$6.80Jul 22, 00:22 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Madrid on July 23?$7.00Jul 22, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 23?$7.52Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 23?$6.47Jul 22, 00:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 22?$0.23Jul 21, 22:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 22?$1.21Jul 21, 19:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
57% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $4.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 06:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 02:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.