Frivolous-Rye
0x418e91fb79f6921b710d208e2998d1dc76d319e1
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-325.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
19000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
5000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
3157 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-78.10
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
2396 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-46.47
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
1316 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-27.88
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
1195 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-37.00
- YES
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?
404 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
251 shares @ 18.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-47.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$50.00Apr 9, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$25.00Apr 9, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$25.00Apr 9, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$9.00Apr 7, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$20.00Apr 7, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$25.00Apr 7, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$10.00Apr 7, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$20.00Apr 7, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$30.00Apr 7, 13:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$105.27Apr 7, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$30.00Apr 7, 13:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$38.17Apr 7, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$37.00Mar 26, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$35.00Mar 25, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?$50.00Mar 24, 12:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 18?$0.00Mar 22, 18:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 18?$0.00Mar 18, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 18?$5.00Mar 18, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 18?$5.00Mar 18, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 18?$10.00Mar 18, 18:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $26.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 09:57 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 9, 00:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.