Political-Submarine
0x41928e0f24457bcc0c8ddac4a83cc0548ce94ebe
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$97.84
Total PnL
$7.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
50 shares @ 85.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$45.25
$2.75
- NO
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?
15 shares @ 73.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$15.00
$4.00
- NO
Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
6 shares @ 90.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$6.00
$0.56
- NO
Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
6 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$6.00
$0.24
- NO
Will Houston win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$5.32
$0.32
- NO
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
5 shares @ 97.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$5.15
$0.15
- NO
Will Arkansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
5 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$5.12
$0.12
- NO
Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
5 shares @ 95.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$5.00
$0.22
- NO
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
5 shares @ 95.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$5.00
$0.21
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$1.00Apr 11, 07:42 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$3.10Mar 23, 11:25 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B$0.00Mar 22, 11:05 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B$0.00Mar 22, 11:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?$15.00Mar 22, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$4.79Mar 21, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$5.76Mar 21, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$4.78Mar 21, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B$10.00Mar 21, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$5.44Mar 21, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arkansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$5.00Mar 21, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$5.00Mar 21, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Houston win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$5.00Mar 21, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$5.00Mar 21, 12:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$0.00Mar 21, 12:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?$0.00Mar 21, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 17, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$6.69Mar 17, 22:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?$5.00Mar 17, 22:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be 8-10 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?$4.81Mar 17, 22:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$0.00Mar 17, 22:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $6.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 25, 10:43 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 11, 07:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.