0x4193b73128f58fa012110ca74ae33fe302ba843f
0x4193b73128f58fa012110ca74ae33fe302ba843f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-94.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
10500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-15.99
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
5833 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
2375 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.75
- YES
Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?
2274 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Vance say "Israel" during his Rocky Mount visit?
483 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Vance say "Inflation" 3+ times during his Rocky Mount visit?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Vance say "God" or "Hell" 5+ times during his Rocky Mount visit?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- HORNETS
Heat vs. Hornets: 1H Moneyline
43 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.04
- NO
Will Powell say "Percent" 20+ times during March press conference?
37 shares @ 13.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$2.57May 30, 19:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.68May 30, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.01May 6, 20:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.06May 6, 20:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.44May 5, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.00Apr 17, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.00Apr 17, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYHeat vs. Hornets: 1H Moneyline$0.04Apr 15, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Percent" 20+ times during March press conference?$3.00Mar 18, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$10.00Mar 18, 17:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$13.25Mar 18, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Percent" 20+ times during March press conference?$2.00Mar 18, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during March press conference?$6.00Mar 18, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?$15.00Mar 17, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 16, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$5.00Mar 16, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$10.00Mar 16, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.19Mar 16, 02:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.18Mar 16, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Mar 16, 02:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 20:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 19:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".