Wrathful-Dialogue
0x4196118a2a3bf20075d0f3fd944b7c7a29117125
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$45.98
Total PnL
$-462.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$45.45
$40.45
- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
17 shares @ 23.0¢·now 3.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.53
$-3.47
- YES
Bitcoin above $86,000 on April 4?
11000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $105K and $106K on May 23?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $100K and $101K on May 23?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?
2216 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2025$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
1696 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
1689 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-31.00
- YES
Bitcoin above $89,000 on March 14?
909 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?
500 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
10 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $10.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.