0x419795a795cbafe1430e81aa68f893deb8e3d9c3
0x419795a795cbafe1430e81aa68f893deb8e3d9c3
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$14.71
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-752.25
Win rate
38%
8 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will London have between 20-30mm of precipitation in March?
5 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.00
$1.20
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 30?
5 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$5.00
$0.75
- NO
Will Seoul have 60mm or more of precipitation in March?
5 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$4.71
$1.37
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on April 7?
3286 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-328.52
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
1215 shares @ 22.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-274.34
- YES
Will Russell T. Vought be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
68 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.68
- NO
Will Hong Kong have between 150-160mm of precipitation in March?
10 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on April 2?
9 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-0.92
- YES
Will Seoul have 60mm or more of precipitation in March?
5 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.25
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Mike Waltz be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$0.08Apr 10, 14:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jamieson Greer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$0.10Apr 8, 13:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.25T and 1.50T?$58.90Apr 8, 13:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Seoul have 60mm or more of precipitation in March?$0.00Apr 8, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 30?$0.00Apr 8, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill London have between 20-30mm of precipitation in March?$0.00Apr 8, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on April 7?$0.00Apr 8, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on April 2?$0.00Apr 8, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hong Kong have between 150-160mm of precipitation in March?$0.00Apr 8, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$0.00Apr 8, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Seoul have 60mm or more of precipitation in March?$0.00Apr 8, 12:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 30?$0.00Apr 8, 12:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill London have between 20-30mm of precipitation in March?$0.00Apr 8, 12:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on April 2?$0.00Apr 8, 12:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hong Kong have between 150-160mm of precipitation in March?$0.00Apr 8, 12:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$0.00Apr 8, 12:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on April 7?$0.00Apr 8, 12:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Seoul have 60mm or more of precipitation in March?$0.00Apr 8, 11:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 30?$0.00Apr 8, 11:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill London have between 20-30mm of precipitation in March?$0.00Apr 8, 11:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $14.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 09:30 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 10, 14:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".