Occasional-Psychiatrist
0x4197cfa6a6d71dc2a977514069dc1b3f571b7778
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$94.09
Total PnL
$-21.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 26?
94 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$94.09
$0.09
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,700 on January 10?
1150 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.30
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on March 6?
1100 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.30
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 15?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on December 7?
900 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-2.70
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 17?
882 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.76
- YES
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times July 11–18?
500 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-5.50
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by September 30?
20 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Costco Wholesale (COST) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?
4 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 2, 2025$0.00
$-3.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 26?$94.01May 25, 11:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 22?$94.09May 25, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 22?$94.01May 21, 09:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 15?$93.19May 21, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 15?$93.01May 15, 11:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?$93.09May 15, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?$93.01May 9, 12:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$93.09May 9, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$93.00May 6, 07:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$93.09May 6, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$93.00Apr 30, 11:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $84,000 on April 26?$93.09Apr 28, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $84,000 on April 26?$93.00Apr 25, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 19?$93.09Apr 25, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 19?$93.00Apr 19, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 17?$93.09Apr 19, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 17?$93.00Apr 16, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 17?$1.90Apr 16, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 12?$95.09Apr 16, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 12?$95.00Apr 12, 03:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $83.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 3, 07:41 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 11:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".