Normal-Polyester
0x4198e7269e58eabb2e00d8d4617fa55fb104ae38
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$118.89
Total PnL
$-422.56
Realised
$-5.41
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
18290 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$118.89
$-27.43
- YES
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
7500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 4?
4900 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-217.40
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in January?
3313 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-23.19
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,300 December 1-7?
600 shares @ 20.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-125.40
- YES
SBF released from custody in 2025?
500 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $110k November 3-9?
106 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.48
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C or higher on May 19?
10 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.20
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?
5 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.06
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 25, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $3.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.