Illustrious-Leash
0x419b38b0f37dc2e54e4822ec472700f402a77a1f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-207.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
11230 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-29.99
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
1200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 4°C or below on March 19?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
688 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-29.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 5°C on March 19?
502 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 6°C on March 19?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 7°C on March 19?
398 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 8°C on March 19?
309 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 19?$2.18Mar 18, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 19?$20.00Mar 18, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 18, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 18, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 18, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$6.00Mar 18, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C or higher on March 19?$1.00Mar 18, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 19?$1.00Mar 18, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C on March 19?$1.00Mar 18, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 10°C on March 19?$1.00Mar 18, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 9°C on March 19?$1.00Mar 18, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 8°C on March 19?$1.00Mar 18, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 7°C on March 19?$1.00Mar 18, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 6°C on March 19?$1.00Mar 18, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 5°C on March 19?$1.00Mar 18, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 4°C or below on March 19?$1.00Mar 18, 09:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$17.83Mar 18, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$60.00Mar 18, 09:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$7.03Mar 18, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$10.00Mar 18, 09:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $20.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 14:47 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 22:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".