Scary-Ark-Cricketer
0x419da259b9e0d1c34e4c264924b28093e926e52b
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
189
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$20.36
Win rate
93%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 189- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
1002 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
541 shares @ 20.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-110.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
474 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
333 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
238 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
163 shares @ 12.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
152 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
143 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$0.00Jul 22, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$5.17Jul 22, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$2.12Jul 22, 08:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$7.52Jul 22, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$4.97Jul 22, 08:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$28.51Jul 21, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$10.53Jul 21, 02:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$9.69Jul 21, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$10.23Jul 21, 02:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$14.71Jul 21, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$10.22Jul 21, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$10.50Jul 21, 01:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$24.70Jul 21, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$20.66Jul 21, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$10.34Jul 21, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$5.22Jul 21, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$6.24Jul 21, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$5.13Jul 21, 00:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$31.91Jul 21, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$20.53Jul 21, 00:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
39/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
93% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $16.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 23:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 08:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.