0x41a23a56f7c4573ce42fdd8c5358212c95db8462
0x41a23a56f7c4573ce42fdd8c5358212c95db8462
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$27.61
Total PnL
$-26.57
Realised
$-14.03
Win rate
38%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
7 shares @ 37.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$6.61
$4.12
- NO
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
6 shares @ 26.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$5.54
$4.10
- NO
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
5 shares @ 27.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.46
$3.99
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
5 shares @ 80.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$5.00
$0.96
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
5 shares @ 77.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$5.00
$1.12
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
10 shares @ 75.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-7.62
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?
10 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.68
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
7 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.48
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
7 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.74
- NO
Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?
7 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-0.74
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$0.00Mar 14, 21:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$0.00Mar 14, 07:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$0.00Mar 14, 01:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$0.00Mar 13, 21:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?$0.00Mar 13, 20:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$0.00Mar 13, 20:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$0.00Mar 13, 19:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$0.00Mar 13, 19:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$0.00Mar 13, 19:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the People’s Party (PPLE) win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$0.00Mar 13, 19:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?$0.00Mar 13, 19:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$0.00Mar 13, 19:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$0.00Mar 13, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?$0.00Mar 13, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$0.00Mar 13, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$0.00Mar 13, 18:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the People’s Party (PPLE) win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$0.00Mar 13, 18:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?$0.00Mar 13, 18:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?$0.00Mar 13, 18:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$0.00Mar 13, 18:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 15:22 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 14, 21:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.