Each-Standing
0x41a5f507edf17007b63308a94d11fa9977502044
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$113.77
Total PnL
$-154.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
120 shares @ 92.0¢·now 95.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$113.77
$3.77
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
5200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
3214 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-9.64
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
3000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
404 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.63
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
201 shares @ 29.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-59.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
200 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-21.90
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?
130 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-6.76
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$0.01Jul 5, 11:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $0.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 10:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.