Misguided-Thought
0x41a92c98d96556aeed0aba0a1d25f082f79d6f43
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-39.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- UP
Solana Up or Down - August 1, 1PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 1PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - August 2, 12PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 12PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 1, 1PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- WESTCOL
Boxing: TheGrefg vs Westcol
42 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- RORO
Boxing: Abby vs. RoRo
15 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
WLFI market cap (FDV) $10-12B one day after launch?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - August 1, 6AM ET
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118K and $119K on July 31 at 5PM ET?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum outperforms Bitcoin on August 3?$1.00Aug 3, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum outperforms Bitcoin on August 3?$1.00Aug 3, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWLFI market cap (FDV) $10-12B one day after launch?$1.00Aug 3, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 3, 8AM ET$1.00Aug 3, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 3, 8AM ET$1.00Aug 3, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8AM ET$1.00Aug 3, 12:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $3500 and $3600 on August 3 at 5PM ET?$2.54Aug 3, 12:22 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 3, 5AM ET$1.27Aug 3, 12:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 5AM ET$1.61Aug 3, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 5AM ET$1.00Aug 3, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 3, 5AM ET$1.00Aug 3, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 3, 5AM ET$1.00Aug 3, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - August 2, 8PM ET$1.49Aug 3, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 2, 8PM ET$1.75Aug 3, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 2, 8PM ET$1.00Aug 3, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 2, 8PM ET$1.00Aug 3, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 6PM ET$1.79Aug 3, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3500 and $3600 on August 3 at 5PM ET?$1.00Aug 2, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 2, 6PM ET$1.00Aug 2, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 6PM ET$1.00Aug 2, 22:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $2.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 20:38 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 3, 12:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.