Plain-Result
0x41aa2157cd64533944f8dc73ada96c4a5402af20
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$51.59
Total PnL
$-8.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
52 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$51.59
$1.59
- YES
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-05-25?
33 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Newcastle vs. Everton end in a draw?
24 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$20.00Jan 20, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$30.00Jan 20, 07:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$20.26Jan 20, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?$50.45Jan 20, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?$50.00Oct 7, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$20.00Oct 7, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liverpool vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?$23.81Oct 7, 03:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Everton win on 2025-05-25?$38.46Oct 7, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton win on 2025-05-25?$5.00May 25, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Newcastle vs. Everton end in a draw?$5.00May 25, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crystal Palace win on 2025-05-25?$5.00May 25, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?$5.00May 25, 15:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2400 in April?$10.28May 25, 15:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$12.50May 25, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$10.00Apr 25, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1300 on Apr 18?$10.15Apr 19, 14:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $1800 on Apr 18?$16.48Apr 19, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2400 in April?$10.00Apr 15, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1300 on Apr 18?$10.00Apr 15, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $1800 on Apr 18?$15.00Apr 15, 03:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $15.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 12:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 20, 07:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".