Downright-Diffuse
0x41adb715f380ea03c98328e256a99e450bb41ee4
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$8.80
Total PnL
$0.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?
3 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$2.79
$0.01
- YES
Will "SWIM - BTS" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
3 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$2.63
$0.01
- YES
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) finish with the third-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
2 shares @ 96.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$2.19
$0.09
- YES
Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
1 shares @ 91.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.20
$0.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) finish with the third-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$2.10Apr 9, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "SWIM - BTS" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$2.62Apr 9, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $200 in April?$2.78Apr 9, 04:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$1.19Apr 9, 04:03 UTC
- REDEEMBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.79Apr 9, 04:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?$2.20Apr 9, 04:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$3.59Apr 9, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.77Jan 15, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?$2.17Jan 15, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$3.36Jan 15, 06:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.03Jan 15, 06:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.07Jan 15, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$1.10Dec 18, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.01Dec 18, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$1.12Dec 18, 04:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Charlie Kirk be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?$1.09Dec 18, 04:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$2.73Dec 18, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charlie Kirk be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?$1.01Nov 24, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.02Nov 24, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.02Nov 24, 01:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $68.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 16, 02:52 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 9, 04:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.