Wary-Pickax
0x41ae45ed0ef992dd32cdff6e4db0ad5421558569
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-119.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$126.89Jul 13, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?$128.42Jul 13, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?$109.07Mar 18, 11:30 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$0.00Mar 18, 11:17 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$0.00Mar 18, 11:17 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$0.00Mar 18, 11:16 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by March 31?$2.70Mar 18, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$4.40Mar 16, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$1.00Mar 1, 03:43 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$11.78Feb 28, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$241.45Feb 27, 23:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$241.44Feb 27, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$237.91Feb 26, 17:01 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?$237.92Feb 26, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?$237.44Feb 26, 05:52 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?$234.76Feb 26, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?$227.25Feb 24, 16:16 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?$229.79Feb 23, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?$229.55Feb 23, 05:03 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?$225.77Feb 23, 04:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $119.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 4, 03:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 07:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.