Excellent-Statistic
0x41b828a8363da32970e3c6243d8e2317ad16aceb
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$125.93
Total PnL
$-38.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy
10 shares @ 95.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$10.45
$0.45
- NO
Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?
9 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$9.20
$1.20
- NO
Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?
9 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
9 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$9.04
$0.04
- NO
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
8 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$8.29
$0.29
- YES
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
8 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.14
$1.14
- NO
Iran leadership change by March 13?
8 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.11
$0.11
- YES
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?
8 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.06
$0.06
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
8 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$8.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
7 shares @ 97.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$7.17
$0.17
Recent activity
- REDEEMChina x Taiwan military clash by December 31?$6.07Mar 13, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy$10.00Mar 13, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$6.00Mar 13, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYMasoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?$8.00Mar 13, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$6.00Mar 13, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?$7.00Mar 13, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBased FDV above $800M one day after launch?$9.00Mar 13, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?$6.00Mar 13, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Backpack launch a token by March 31?$8.00Mar 13, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $500M one day after launch?$6.00Mar 13, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$8.00Mar 13, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYKatana FDV above $50M one day after launch?$7.00Mar 13, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by March 13?$8.00Mar 13, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 10?$7.00Mar 13, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$5.00Mar 13, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$9.00Mar 13, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$8.00Mar 13, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of March?$7.00Mar 13, 17:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?$10.58Mar 13, 17:13 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$11.38Mar 13, 17:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $9.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 17, 15:15 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 13, 17:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.