Arid-Physical
0x41c26effe0f3189ea5f410ec6ab77a27e3bee700
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$4.83
Total PnL
$-0.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Pelicans$2.80Jan 13, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Kings$2.78Oct 26, 10:29 UTC
- REDEEMStars vs. Jets$4.04Oct 26, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYStars vs. Jets$2.18May 9, 06:20 UTC
- REDEEMJets vs. Capitals$4.02May 9, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYJets vs. Capitals$2.01Feb 1, 13:48 UTC
- REDEEMThunder vs. Cavaliers$1.98Feb 1, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Cavaliers$1.13Jan 8, 08:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$295.62Oct 18, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$295.91Oct 18, 09:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hillary Clinton be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$295.91Oct 18, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary Clinton be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$296.81Oct 18, 09:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hillary Clinton be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$296.81Oct 18, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary Clinton be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$297.71Oct 18, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$297.71Oct 18, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$298.02Oct 18, 08:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $183.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 18, 08:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 13, 09:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.