Deadly-Standoff
0x41c386723f0e25cec9ab7e63e28857c756c0ca48
Wallet digest
Activity score
35/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$39.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
1437 shares @ 34.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
779 shares @ 56.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-440.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
473 shares @ 63.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
387 shares @ 64.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
372 shares @ 38.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-142.96
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
333 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
223 shares @ 64.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-145.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
50 shares @ 69.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-34.75
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
50 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-33.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
20 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-14.80
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
4/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.