Webbed-Excellence
0x41c9a2179ba999670247e5daf917912cf8cce802
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-26.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Kamala Harris say "Joy" during DNC speech?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
388 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2024$0.00
$-15.79
- NO
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
140 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2024$0.00
$-5.04
- NO
Will Donald Trump say "MAGA" 3+ times during Pennsylvania rally?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 30, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "MAGA" 3+ times during Pennsylvania rally?$1.00Aug 30, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?$5.40Aug 25, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?$0.21Aug 25, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYRFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?$3.92Aug 25, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYRFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?$0.37Aug 25, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYRFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?$0.16Aug 25, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYRFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?$0.19Aug 25, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYRFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?$0.18Aug 25, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYRFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?$0.22Aug 25, 08:53 UTC
- REDEEMTrump mentioned between 50-74 times at the DNC today?$20.54Aug 25, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?$5.12Aug 24, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?$0.06Aug 24, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?$5.00Aug 24, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris say "Joy" during DNC speech?$5.00Aug 23, 07:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris say "Project 2025" during DNC speech?$0.00Aug 23, 06:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris say "Inflation" 3 or more times during DNC speech?$0.00Aug 23, 06:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris say "Not going back" during DNC speech?$0.00Aug 23, 06:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris say "Monkeypox" during DNC speech?$0.00Aug 23, 06:29 UTC
- REDEEMKamala Harris DNC speech under 30 minutes?$0.00Aug 23, 06:29 UTC
- REDEEMJoe Biden reinstated as Dem Nominee at DNC?$0.00Aug 23, 06:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $2.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 21, 02:30 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 30, 20:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.