Expensive-Neurobiologist
0x41c9ebabadd00795d5165c258cf814cb7048b284
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$80.10
Total PnL
$-91.34
Realised
$-6.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
347 shares @ 18.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.95
$-29.48
- YES
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
120 shares @ 14.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.80
$-6.00
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 63.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.35
$0.05
- NO
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 86.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.38
$0.38
- YES
Negative GDP growth in 2026?
34 shares @ 8.9¢·now 15.6¢·exp Jan 29, 2027$5.25
$2.25
- YES
Will world GDP growth be ≤2.9% in 2026?
21 shares @ 57.7¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jan 15, 2027$3.43
$-8.57
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
36 shares @ 8.4¢·now 7.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.73
$-0.27
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 76.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.58
$-1.22
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
8 shares @ 50.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$2.48
$-1.52
- YES
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0%?
6 shares @ 17.2¢·now 27.9¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$1.67
$0.64
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Iran be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?$2.50Jun 4, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.06Jun 4, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?$1.03Jun 4, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.04Jun 3, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$6.30Jun 3, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?$4.00Jun 3, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$3.80Jun 3, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?$1.60Jun 3, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?$5.00Jun 3, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$1.00Jun 3, 03:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$29.52Jun 3, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$2.80May 5, 10:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?$0.00May 5, 03:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$0.00May 5, 03:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?$0.00May 5, 03:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$9.99May 5, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.00Apr 25, 04:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.00Apr 25, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?$1.00Apr 20, 17:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?$1.68Apr 20, 17:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $2.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 21:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 04:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.