Worn-Thyme
0x41ca81374700cf37bce4965a84bba35150c5a174
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-16.33
Realised
$-1.27
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 37°F or below on April 29?
462 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 74°F or higher on April 30?
192 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 29?
97 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 67°F or below on April 30?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on April 30?
26 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.78
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 29?
20 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on April 29?
16 shares @ 18.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on April 29?
14 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-0.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 29?
3 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-0.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on April 30?
2 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.52
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$0.00May 1, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$1.07May 1, 11:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be 56°F or higher on May 2?$0.82May 1, 11:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on May 1?$0.35May 1, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 56°F or higher on May 2?$2.10May 1, 00:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 30?$3.12Apr 30, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on April 30?$4.41Apr 30, 17:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on April 30?$0.52Apr 30, 17:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on April 30?$2.04Apr 30, 17:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on May 1?$1.02Apr 30, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on April 30?$1.39Apr 30, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on April 30?$1.05Apr 30, 00:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on April 30?$1.14Apr 30, 00:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on April 30?$1.38Apr 30, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on April 30?$1.41Apr 30, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on May 1?$1.88Apr 29, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 67°F or below on April 30?$1.05Apr 29, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on April 30?$2.08Apr 29, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on April 30?$3.15Apr 29, 23:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on April 30?$0.78Apr 29, 20:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $1.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 23:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 1, 12:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.